Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Millerntor-Stadion
FC St. Pauli
8th · 12 pts1–3FULL TIME
1. FC Nürnberg
2nd · 21 pts36% FC
25% Draw
39% 1.
OUR PICK
1. FC Nürnberg to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.57
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.80X3.9322.57
Goals 2.5Over1.91Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
FC St. Pauli1. FC Nürnberg1.2Goals per game2.4
1.2Conceded per game1.3
1.20Points per game2.10
20%Win rate60%
0Goal difference11
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
FC St. Pauli form
No recent matches.
1. FC Nürnberg form
WLLDDA FC St. Pauli1–3
A Bayer Leverkusen5–2
H 1. FC Kaiserslautern0–1
A Energie Cottbus1–1
H VfL Wolfsburg4–4
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
1.
These sides haven't met recently.
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC St. Pauli 36%, the draw 25%, 1. FC Nürnberg 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.35 for FC St. Pauli, 1.42 for 1. FC Nürnberg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC St. Pauli sit 8th on 12 points; 1. FC Nürnberg are 2nd on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.