Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
SUISuper League · Matchday 13Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Kybunpark
FC ST. Gallen
5th · 19 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
FC Lugano
1st · 34 pts16% FC
18% Draw
66% FC
OUR PICK
FC Lugano to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
1.08 – 2.38
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.37X5.4921.51
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.19
X2
84%
Season stats
FC ST. GallenFC Lugano1.6Goals per game3.0
1.8Conceded per game0.8
1.58Points per game2.83
50%Win rate92%
-3Goal difference26
9Form, last 5 (pts)15
FC ST. Gallen form
WLWWDH Servette FC2–1
A BSC Young Boys2–0
A Rapperswil0–2
H Lausanne1–0
A Brühl3–3
FC Lugano form
WWWWWH FC Basel 18932–1
A FC Thun2–3
A Getafe2–5
A Pully Football0–4
H FK Crvena Zvezda3–2
Head to head
3
FC
1
Draw
1
FC
Sept 2026FC Lugano – FC ST. Gallen4–1
May 2026FC Lugano – FC ST. Gallen1–2
Mar 2026FC ST. Gallen – FC Lugano1–1
Nov 2025FC Lugano – FC ST. Gallen1–3
Sept 2025FC ST. Gallen – FC Lugano1–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Lugano12+2634
2BSC Young Boys12+1525
3FC Sion12+723
4FC Zurich12-120
5FC ST. Gallen12-319
6Servette FC12+116
7FC Basel 189312-414
8FC Luzern12-613
9FC Thun12-1013
10FC Vaduz12-110
Match preview
Our model makes FC Lugano clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.08 for FC ST. Gallen, 2.38 for FC Lugano), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC ST. Gallen sit 5th on 19 points; FC Lugano are 1st on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.