Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
SUISuper League · Matchday 11Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Stade de la Tuiliere
FC Sion
3rd · 23 pts1–0FULL TIME
Lausanne
12th · 6 pts67% FC
19% Draw
14% Lausanne
OUR PICK
FC Sion to win
Model probability 67% · fair odds
1.49
Expected goals
2.13 – 0.84
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.49X5.1627.33
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG2.00NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@2.00
GG
50%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
FC SionLausanne2.1Goals per game0.6
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.92Points per game0.55
58%Win rate9%
7Goal difference-10
8Form, last 5 (pts)0
FC Sion form
DWWLLA FC Luzern1–1
H Lausanne1–0
A Cham0–2
A Servette FC3–0
A Saint Etienne5–1
Lausanne form
DLWLLH FC Thun0–0
A FC Sion1–0
A Winkeln St. Gallen0–7
A FC ST. Gallen1–0
H FC Lugano0–4
Head to head
2
FC
2
Draw
1
Lausanne
Oct 2026FC Sion – Lausanne1–0
Apr 2026FC Sion – Lausanne3–0
Nov 2025Lausanne – FC Sion2–2
Sept 2025FC Sion – Lausanne0–0
Apr 2025Lausanne – FC Sion2–0
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Lugano11+2531
2BSC Young Boys11+1725
3FC Sion12+723
4FC ST. Gallen12-319
5FC Zurich11-317
6Servette FC12+116
7FC Basel 189311-314
8FC Luzern12-613
9FC Vaduz12-110
10FC Thun11-1110
Match preview
Our model makes FC Sion clear favourites, giving them a 67% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.13 for FC Sion, 0.84 for Lausanne), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Sion sit 3rd on 23 points; Lausanne are 12th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.