Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
SOUK League 1 · Championship Group - 34Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Seoul World Cup Stadium
FC Seoul
1st · 67 pts0–1FULL TIME
Incheon United
6th · 46 pts58% FC
24% Draw
18% Incheon
OUR PICK
FC Seoul to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.72
Expected goals
1.73 – 0.85
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.72X4.2425.49
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.89
NG
53%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
FC SeoulIncheon United1.8Goals per game1.3
0.9Conceded per game1.1
2.03Points per game1.39
61%Win rate36%
32Goal difference8
8Form, last 5 (pts)9
FC Seoul form
No recent matches.
Incheon United form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
Incheon
These sides haven't met recently.
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes FC Seoul clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.72 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.73 for FC Seoul, 0.85 for Incheon United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Seoul sit 1st on 67 points; Incheon United are 6th on 46.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.