Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
68%
SOUK League 1 · Matchday 33Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Seoul World Cup Stadium
FC Seoul
1st · 67 pts1–1FULL TIME
Gangwon FC
5th · 48 pts55% FC
26% Draw
20% Gangwon
OUR PICK
FC Seoul to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.80
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.83X3.8725.10
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.70
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.76
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.76
NG
57%
Double chance@1.24
1X
80%
Season stats
FC SeoulGangwon FC1.8Goals per game1.2
0.9Conceded per game0.9
2.03Points per game1.45
61%Win rate33%
32Goal difference10
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
FC Seoul form
LWDDLH Incheon United0–1
A Viettel0–5
H Gangwon FC1–1
H Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–2
A Melbourne Victory3–0
Gangwon FC form
LWDDLA Ulsan Hyundai FC2–1
H Kuching FA1–0
A FC Seoul1–1
H Incheon United1–1
H Phnom Penh Crown1–2
Head to head
2
FC
2
Draw
1
Gangwon
Oct 2026FC Seoul – Gangwon FC1–1
Jul 2026FC Seoul – Gangwon FC0–0
Apr 2026Gangwon FC – FC Seoul1–2
Oct 2025FC Seoul – Gangwon FC4–2
Sept 2025Gangwon FC – FC Seoul3–2
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes FC Seoul clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.53 for FC Seoul, 0.80 for Gangwon FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Seoul sit 1st on 67 points; Gangwon FC are 5th on 48.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.