Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 8Saturday, 31 October 2026 · VELTINS-Arena
FC Schalke 04
16th · 6 pts0–2FULL TIME
RB Leipzig
4th · 15 pts25% FC
25% Draw
50% RB
OUR PICK
RB Leipzig to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.59
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.99X3.9922.00
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
FC Schalke 04RB Leipzig0.5Goals per game2.8
1.1Conceded per game1.4
0.75Points per game1.88
13%Win rate63%
-5Goal difference11
2Form, last 5 (pts)9
FC Schalke 04 form
No recent matches.
RB Leipzig form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
RB
These sides haven't met recently.
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8FSV Mainz 058010
9FC Augsburg8+39
10VfB Stuttgart8-19
Match preview
Our model makes RB Leipzig slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.05 for FC Schalke 04, 1.59 for RB Leipzig), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Schalke 04 sit 16th on 6 points; RB Leipzig are 4th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.