Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 12Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Ludwigspark-Stadion
FC Saarbrücken
6th · 17 pts1–1LIVE 25'
Waldhof Mannheim
8th · 16 pts52% FC
20% Draw
28% Waldhof
OUR PICK
FC Saarbrücken to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
2.32 – 1.70
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.93X5.0323.53
Goals 2.5Over1.31Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.36NG3.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.36
GG
74%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
FC SaarbrückenWaldhof Mannheim2.4Goals per game1.8
1.8Conceded per game1.5
1.55Points per game1.45
45%Win rate45%
6Goal difference3
7Form, last 5 (pts)9
FC Saarbrücken form
DLWLDH Waldhof Mannheim1–1
A Havelse3–2
A Fortuna Düsseldorf1–3
H MSV Duisburg2–4
A Fortuna Köln0–0
Waldhof Mannheim form
DWLLWA FC Saarbrücken1–1
H Hoffenheim II4–1
A Würzburger Kickers2–0
H FC Ingolstadt 040–3
A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1–5
Head to head
3
FC
1
Draw
1
Waldhof
Nov 2026FC Saarbrücken – Waldhof Mannheim1–1
May 2026FC Saarbrücken – Waldhof Mannheim2–0
Dec 2025Waldhof Mannheim – FC Saarbrücken2–1
Feb 2025FC Saarbrücken – Waldhof Mannheim2–1
Aug 2024Waldhof Mannheim – FC Saarbrücken0–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen11+621
4SV Wehen12+618
5FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
6FC Saarbrücken11+617
7Alemannia Aachen11017
8Waldhof Mannheim11+316
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes FC Saarbrücken slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.93 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.32 for FC Saarbrücken, 1.70 for Waldhof Mannheim), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Saarbrücken sit 6th on 17 points; Waldhof Mannheim are 8th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.