Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
WORUEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Estádio do Dragão
FC Porto
34th · 0 pts0–1FULL TIME
PSV Eindhoven
18th · 4 pts40% FC
24% Draw
35% PSV
OUR PICKSolo pick of the day
Both teams to score
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.65
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.45
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.48X4.1322.82
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
60%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
FC PortoPSV Eindhoven0.7Goals per game0.7
2.0Conceded per game0.7
0.00Points per game1.33
0%Win rate33%
-4Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)4
FC Porto form
WWWLLH Estoril4–0
H Academico Viseu1–0
A GIL Vicente0–1
H PSV Eindhoven0–1
A Real Betis3–2
PSV Eindhoven form
WDWLLH Willem II7–0
H Feyenoord1–1
A FC Porto0–1
A ADO Den Haag2–1
A RB Leipzig1–0
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
1
PSV
Oct 2026FC Porto – PSV Eindhoven0–1
UEFA Champions League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Porto 40%, the draw 24%, PSV Eindhoven 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.48 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.56 for FC Porto, 1.45 for PSV Eindhoven), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Porto sit 34th on 0 points; PSV Eindhoven are 18th on 4.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.