Over 1.5 goals@1.63
Over 1.5
61%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 10Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes
FC Porto B
16th · 8 pts12:00KICK-OFF WAT
Portimonense
11th · 11 pts35% FC
30% Draw
35% Portimonense
OUR PICK
FC Porto B to win
Model probability 35% · fair odds
2.84
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.03
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.84X3.3122.89
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.52
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
58%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
FC Porto BPortimonense0.9Goals per game0.7
1.9Conceded per game1.1
0.89Points per game1.22
22%Win rate33%
-9Goal difference-4
5Form, last 5 (pts)4
FC Porto B form
LDWDLA Amarante2–1
H União de Leiria1–1
A Leixoes1–2
H Vizela2–2
A Tondela3–0
Portimonense form
DLWWWH Torreense0–0
A Sporting CP B3–0
A Florgrade1–2
A Amarante1–2
A Castro Daire0–1
Head to head
3
FC
0
Draw
2
Portimonense
Mar 2026Portimonense – FC Porto B2–1
Nov 2025FC Porto B – Portimonense1–0
May 2025Portimonense – FC Porto B0–3
Jan 2025FC Porto B – Portimonense1–2
Mar 2017FC Porto B – Portimonense1–0
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa9+719
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Farense9+415
6Academica9+315
7Tondela9+215
8Vizela9+114
9União de Leiria9+214
10AVS9+112
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Porto B 35%, the draw 30%, Portimonense 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.04 for FC Porto B, 1.03 for Portimonense), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Porto B sit 16th on 8 points; Portimonense are 11th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.