Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
80%
NEDEerste Divisie · Matchday 14Friday, 6 November 2026 · Frans Heesen Stadion
FC OSS
15th · 13 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
Waalwijk
13th · 16 pts41% FC
24% Draw
35% Waalwijk
OUR PICK
FC OSS to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.47
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.45
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.47X4.1422.83
Goals 2.5Over1.72Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.65NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.65
GG
61%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
FC OSSWaalwijk1.6Goals per game1.7
1.7Conceded per game1.5
1.08Points per game1.23
33%Win rate23%
-1Goal difference3
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
FC OSS form
WDLWWA PEC Zwolle1–2
H Jong Ajax3–3
A Den Bosch2–1
H Helmond Sport3–1
H MVV4–1
Waalwijk form
LDDDLH Almere City FC1–2
A Barendrecht2–2
A De Graafschap1–1
H FC Volendam1–1
A Heracles3–0
Head to head
0
FC
2
Draw
3
Waalwijk
Jan 2026Waalwijk – FC OSS2–0
Nov 2025FC OSS – Waalwijk0–0
Jul 2022Waalwijk – FC OSS5–3
Jan 2019FC OSS – Waalwijk1–2
Oct 2018Waalwijk – FC OSS0–0
Eerste Divisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Heracles12+2329
2VVV Venlo13+1528
3Almere City FC13+1425
4Roda13+525
5Emmen13+225
6NAC Breda12+321
7FC Volendam13+819
8Den Bosch13+218
9Vitesse12-117
10Jong AZ13+417
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC OSS 41%, the draw 24%, Waalwijk 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.57 for FC OSS, 1.45 for Waalwijk), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC OSS sit 15th on 13 points; Waalwijk are 13th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.