Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 10Friday, 9 October 2026 · Right to Dream Park
FC Nordsjaelland
5th · 20 pts0–0FULL TIME
Odense
6th · 17 pts52% FC
24% Draw
24% Odense
OUR PICK
FC Nordsjaelland to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.11
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.93X4.2124.10
Goals 2.5Over1.85Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
FC NordsjaellandOdense1.5Goals per game1.2
1.3Conceded per game1.3
1.54Points per game1.31
38%Win rate31%
3Goal difference-2
3Form, last 5 (pts)9
FC Nordsjaelland form
LWDDDH FC Midtjylland2–3
A Esbjerg0–1
A Silkeborg1–1
H CSKA Sofia2–2
A Lyngby3–3
Odense form
WLDWDH Silkeborg4–1
A FC Midtjylland2–1
A FC Copenhagen1–1
H Brondby2–1
A FC Nordsjaelland0–0
Head to head
1
FC
2
Draw
2
Odense
Oct 2026FC Nordsjaelland – Odense0–0
Nov 2025FC Nordsjaelland – Odense2–4
Aug 2025Odense – FC Nordsjaelland1–2
Dec 2023Odense – FC Nordsjaelland1–1
Oct 2023FC Nordsjaelland – Odense0–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen13+1629
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes FC Nordsjaelland slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.93 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.73 for FC Nordsjaelland, 1.11 for Odense), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Nordsjaelland sit 5th on 20 points; Odense are 6th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.