Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
73%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 22 October 2026 · MCH Arena
FC Midtjylland
25th · 1 pts0–1FULL TIME
St. Truiden
7th · 6 pts35% FC
27% Draw
39% St.
OUR PICK
St. Truiden to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.57
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.33
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.89X3.7722.57
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.90
Both scoreGG1.91NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.90
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.91
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
FC MidtjyllandSt. Truiden0.5Goals per game1.5
1.0Conceded per game0.0
0.50Points per game3.00
0%Win rate100%
-1Goal difference3
1Form, last 5 (pts)6
FC Midtjylland form
WWWLWA FC Nordsjaelland2–3
H Odense2–1
H Lyngby3–2
H St. Truiden0–1
A Viborg1–2
St. Truiden form
LLWWWH OH Leuven1–2
A Club Brugge KV3–2
A FC Midtjylland0–1
H Lommel United4–1
H FC Iberia 19992–0
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
1
St.
Oct 2026FC Midtjylland – St. Truiden0–1
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Midtjylland 35%, the draw 27%, St. Truiden 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.24 for FC Midtjylland, 1.33 for St. Truiden), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Midtjylland sit 25th on 1 points; St. Truiden are 7th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.