Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 14Sunday, 8 November 2026 · MCH Arena
FC Midtjylland
1st · 31 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Sonderjyske
12th · 8 pts78% FC
13% Draw
9% Sonderjyske
OUR PICK
FC Midtjylland to win
Model probability 78% · fair odds
1.28
Expected goals
3.12 – 1.04
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.28X7.85210.77
Goals 2.5Over1.28Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.28
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.10
1X
91%
Season stats
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske2.1Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game2.4
2.38Points per game0.67
69%Win rate17%
12Goal difference-12
13Form, last 5 (pts)7
FC Midtjylland form
WWWLWA FC Nordsjaelland2–3
H Odense2–1
H Lyngby3–2
H St. Truiden0–1
A Viborg1–2
Sonderjyske form
LWLWLA AC Horsens5–1
H Silkeborg4–0
A Aarhus3–0
H Randers FC4–2
A AB Copenhagen3–1
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
Sonderjyske
These sides haven't met recently.
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen12+1426
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes FC Midtjylland clear favourites, giving them a 78% chance of winning against 13% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.2 goals in total (3.12 for FC Midtjylland, 1.04 for Sonderjyske), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Midtjylland sit 1st on 31 points; Sonderjyske are 12th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.