Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
88%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 12Sunday, 25 October 2026 · MCH Arena
FC Midtjylland
1st · 31 pts3–2FULL TIME
Lyngby
11th · 11 pts72% FC
16% Draw
12% Lyngby
OUR PICK
FC Midtjylland to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.38
Expected goals
2.67 – 1.01
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.38X6.3928.37
Goals 2.5Over1.41Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
FC MidtjyllandLyngby2.1Goals per game1.5
1.2Conceded per game2.2
2.38Points per game0.85
69%Win rate15%
12Goal difference-9
13Form, last 5 (pts)4
FC Midtjylland form
WWWLWA FC Nordsjaelland2–3
H Odense2–1
H Lyngby3–2
H St. Truiden0–1
A Viborg1–2
Lyngby form
WLDLLH Randers FC2–1
A FC Midtjylland3–2
H FC Nordsjaelland3–3
A Brondby5–2
H Hvidovre3–4
Head to head
4
FC
1
Draw
0
Lyngby
Oct 2026FC Midtjylland – Lyngby3–2
Aug 2026Lyngby – FC Midtjylland1–1
Feb 2025FC Midtjylland – Lyngby1–0
Aug 2024Lyngby – FC Midtjylland1–2
Oct 2023FC Midtjylland – Lyngby2–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen12+1426
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes FC Midtjylland clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (2.67 for FC Midtjylland, 1.01 for Lyngby), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Midtjylland sit 1st on 31 points; Lyngby are 11th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.