Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · MCH Arena
FC Midtjylland
1st · 31 pts2–1FULL TIME
FC Copenhagen
2nd · 29 pts36% FC
25% Draw
40% FC
OUR PICK
FC Copenhagen to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.52
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.52
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.80X4.0822.52
Goals 2.5Over1.77Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
59%
Double chance@1.32
12
75%
Season stats
FC MidtjyllandFC Copenhagen2.1Goals per game2.2
1.2Conceded per game0.9
2.38Points per game2.23
69%Win rate69%
12Goal difference16
13Form, last 5 (pts)8
FC Midtjylland form
WWWLWA FC Nordsjaelland2–3
H Odense2–1
H Lyngby3–2
H St. Truiden0–1
A Viborg1–2
FC Copenhagen form
WWDDDA Sonderjyske0–2
A Aarhus Fremad0–3
H Odense1–1
A FK Crvena Zvezda2–2
H Aarhus1–1
Head to head
3
FC
2
Draw
0
FC
Oct 2026FC Midtjylland – FC Copenhagen2–1
May 2026FC Copenhagen – FC Midtjylland0–1
Feb 2026FC Midtjylland – FC Copenhagen2–1
Oct 2025FC Copenhagen – FC Midtjylland1–1
May 2025FC Copenhagen – FC Midtjylland1–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen13+1629
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Midtjylland 36%, the draw 25%, FC Copenhagen 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.43 for FC Midtjylland, 1.52 for FC Copenhagen), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Midtjylland sit 1st on 31 points; FC Copenhagen are 2nd on 29.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.