Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
SUISuper League · Matchday 12Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Swissporarena
FC Luzern
8th · 13 pts1–1FULL TIME
FC Sion
3rd · 23 pts31% FC
21% Draw
48% FC
OUR PICK
FC Sion to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.07
Expected goals
1.68 – 2.13
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.24X4.8022.07
Goals 2.5Over1.37Under3.49
Both scoreGG1.39NG3.37
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.39
GG
72%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
FC LuzernFC Sion1.6Goals per game2.1
2.1Conceded per game1.5
1.08Points per game1.92
25%Win rate58%
-6Goal difference7
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
FC Luzern form
No recent matches.
FC Sion form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Lugano11+2531
2BSC Young Boys11+1725
3FC Sion12+723
4FC ST. Gallen12-319
5FC Zurich11-317
6Servette FC12+116
7FC Basel 189311-314
8FC Luzern12-613
9FC Vaduz12-110
10FC Thun11-1110
Match preview
Our model makes FC Sion slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.07 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (1.68 for FC Luzern, 2.13 for FC Sion), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Luzern sit 8th on 13 points; FC Sion are 3rd on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.