Over 1.5 goals@1.06
Over 1.5
94%
SUISuper League · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Thermoplan Arena
FC Luzern
8th · 13 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
BSC Young Boys
2nd · 25 pts26% FC
18% Draw
56% BSC
OUR PICK
BSC Young Boys to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
1.88 – 2.74
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.84X5.5621.79
Goals 2.5Over1.19Under5.90
Both scoreGG1.26NG4.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.19
Over 2.5
84%
Both teams to score@1.26
GG
79%
Double chance@1.22
12
82%
Season stats
FC LuzernBSC Young Boys1.6Goals per game3.2
2.1Conceded per game1.9
1.08Points per game2.08
25%Win rate58%
-6Goal difference15
4Form, last 5 (pts)10
FC Luzern form
DLWLLH FC Sion1–1
A FC Zurich2–1
A FC Winterthur0–1
A FC Lugano4–0
A SC Freiburg4–2
BSC Young Boys form
LWWWWH FC Zurich3–5
H FC ST. Gallen2–0
A Taverne0–5
A Grasshoppers0–2
A FC Aarau1–2
Head to head
0
FC
1
Draw
4
BSC
Sept 2026BSC Young Boys – FC Luzern3–3
Mar 2026FC Luzern – BSC Young Boys1–2
Dec 2025BSC Young Boys – FC Luzern2–0
Sept 2025FC Luzern – BSC Young Boys1–2
May 2025BSC Young Boys – FC Luzern2–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Lugano12+2634
2BSC Young Boys12+1525
3FC Sion12+723
4FC Zurich12-120
5FC ST. Gallen12-319
6Servette FC12+116
7FC Basel 189312-414
8FC Luzern12-613
9FC Thun12-1013
10FC Vaduz12-110
Match preview
Our model makes BSC Young Boys slight favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.6 goals in total (1.88 for FC Luzern, 2.74 for BSC Young Boys), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Luzern sit 8th on 13 points; BSC Young Boys are 2nd on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.