Over 1.5 goals@1.68
Over 1.5
59%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 9Monday, 19 October 2026 · Stadium Livyi Bereh
FC Kharkiv
3rd · 21 pts2–1FULL TIME
Livyi Bereh
13th · 8 pts59% FC
27% Draw
14% Livyi
OUR PICK
FC Kharkiv to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.69
Expected goals
1.45 – 0.55
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.69X3.7527.14
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.48
Both scoreGG2.95NG1.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.48
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.48
NG
68%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
FC KharkivLivyi Bereh2.0Goals per game0.7
0.8Conceded per game0.9
2.33Points per game0.89
78%Win rate11%
11Goal difference-2
15Form, last 5 (pts)4
FC Kharkiv form
WWWWA Mayak Sarny1–2
A Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1–2
H Livyi Bereh2–1
A Chornomorets1–2
Livyi Bereh form
LLDLLH Bukovyna0–1
H Veres Rivne0–1
H LNZ Cherkasy0–0
A FC Kharkiv2–1
H Zorya Luhansk1–3
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
Livyi
These sides haven't met recently.
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes FC Kharkiv clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.69 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.45 for FC Kharkiv, 0.55 for Livyi Bereh), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Kharkiv sit 3rd on 21 points; Livyi Bereh are 13th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.