Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 12Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Arena Livyi Bereg
FC Kharkiv
3rd · 21 pts12:00KICK-OFF WAT
Karpaty
5th · 16 pts47% FC
26% Draw
27% Karpaty
OUR PICK
FC Kharkiv to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.11
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.05
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.11X3.8523.75
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.87
Both scoreGG1.99NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.99
GG
50%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
FC KharkivKarpaty2.0Goals per game1.7
0.8Conceded per game0.8
2.33Points per game1.60
78%Win rate40%
11Goal difference9
15Form, last 5 (pts)6
FC Kharkiv form
WWWWA Mayak Sarny1–2
A Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1–2
H Livyi Bereh2–1
A Chornomorets1–2
Karpaty form
WDDLWH Oleksandria2–1
A Chornomorets0–0
H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2
A Dynamo Kyiv1–0
A KV Mechelen2–3
Head to head
2
FC
1
Draw
0
Karpaty
May 2026FC Kharkiv – Karpaty2–2
Nov 2025Karpaty – FC Kharkiv1–2
Jul 2024Karpaty – FC Kharkiv0–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes FC Kharkiv slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.11 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.49 for FC Kharkiv, 1.05 for Karpaty), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Kharkiv sit 3rd on 21 points; Karpaty are 5th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.