Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 11Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
FC Juarez
18th · 8 pts1–1FULL TIME
Club Tijuana
6th · 22 pts17% FC
20% Draw
63% Club
OUR PICK
Club Tijuana to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
1.01 – 2.14
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.92X5.0121.58
Goals 2.5Over1.64Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.20
X2
83%
Season stats
FC JuarezClub Tijuana0.8Goals per game1.7
2.3Conceded per game1.4
0.53Points per game1.47
13%Win rate33%
-22Goal difference4
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
FC Juarez form
WDLLDH Club Queretaro3–1
A Necaxa1–1
H Atlante FC0–1
A Cruz Azul5–0
H Club Tijuana1–1
Club Tijuana form
DDWDDA Monterrey3–3
A Club America1–1
H Santos Laguna4–1
A Toluca2–2
H Puebla0–0
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
Club
These sides haven't met recently.
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model makes Club Tijuana clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.01 for FC Juarez, 2.14 for Club Tijuana), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Juarez sit 18th on 8 points; Club Tijuana are 6th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.