Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
MEXLiga MX · Apertura - 13Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
FC Juarez
18th · 8 pts0–1FULL TIME
Atlante FC
16th · 14 pts31% FC
25% Draw
43% Atlante
OUR PICK
Atlante FC to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.50
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.19X3.9422.31
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
FC JuarezAtlante FC0.8Goals per game1.1
2.3Conceded per game1.6
0.53Points per game0.93
13%Win rate20%
-22Goal difference-8
5Form, last 5 (pts)3
FC Juarez form
WDLLDH Club Queretaro3–1
A Necaxa1–1
H Atlante FC0–1
A Cruz Azul5–0
H Club Tijuana1–1
Atlante FC form
LLWLLA Guadalajara Chivas4–2
H Atletico San Luis0–1
A FC Juarez0–1
H U.N.A.M. - Pumas1–2
A Club Queretaro2–0
Head to head
3
FC
0
Draw
2
Atlante
Oct 2026FC Juarez – Atlante FC0–1
Jun 2026FC Juarez – Atlante FC2–0
Oct 2019FC Juarez – Atlante FC1–0
Aug 2019Atlante FC – FC Juarez0–2
Apr 2019Atlante FC – FC Juarez2–1
Liga MX table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Club America15+1529
2Guadalajara Chivas15+1129
3Cruz Azul15+1029
4Atlas15027
5Toluca15+1024
6Club Tijuana15+422
7Leon15+222
8Santos Laguna15+122
9Monterrey14+521
10U.N.A.M. - Pumas15-220
Match preview
Our model makes Atlante FC slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.24 for FC Juarez, 1.50 for Atlante FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Juarez sit 18th on 8 points; Atlante FC are 16th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.