Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Audi Sportpark
FC Ingolstadt 04
7th · 18 pts2–4FULL TIME
SV Wehen
6th · 18 pts40% FC
27% Draw
33% SV
OUR PICK
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.50
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.50X3.7722.99
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
FC Ingolstadt 04SV Wehen1.3Goals per game1.9
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.50Points per game1.50
42%Win rate42%
-1Goal difference6
10Form, last 5 (pts)13
FC Ingolstadt 04 form
DWWWLA Havelse1–1
H MSV Duisburg2–1
H Rot-Weiß Essen1–0
A Waldhof Mannheim0–3
H SV Wehen2–4
SV Wehen form
WWDWWA Verl1–4
H SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach7–1
A SSV Jahn Regensburg0–0
H Alemannia Aachen3–0
A FC Ingolstadt 042–4
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
SV
These sides haven't met recently.
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Ingolstadt 04 40%, the draw 27%, SV Wehen 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.35 for FC Ingolstadt 04, 1.21 for SV Wehen), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 7th on 18 points; SV Wehen are 6th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.