Over 1.5 goals@1.57
Over 1.5
64%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Audi Sportpark
FC Ingolstadt 04
7th · 18 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10th · 16 pts43% FC
29% Draw
28% Fortuna
OUR PICK
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.24 – 0.93
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.31X3.4623.61
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.76
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.76
NG
57%
Double chance@1.38
1X
72%
Season stats
FC Ingolstadt 04Fortuna Düsseldorf1.3Goals per game1.0
1.4Conceded per game1.2
1.50Points per game1.33
42%Win rate33%
-1Goal difference-2
10Form, last 5 (pts)6
FC Ingolstadt 04 form
DWWWLA Havelse1–1
H MSV Duisburg2–1
H Rot-Weiß Essen1–0
A Waldhof Mannheim0–3
H SV Wehen2–4
Fortuna Düsseldorf form
DDLWDH SV Meppen0–0
A Hansa Rostock1–1
H FC Saarbrücken1–3
A Preußen Münster1–2
H Verl2–2
Head to head
1
FC
0
Draw
4
Fortuna
Mar 2022Fortuna Dusseldorf – FC Ingolstadt 043–0
Sept 2021FC Ingolstadt 04 – Fortuna Dusseldorf1–2
Sept 2020FC Ingolstadt 04 – Fortuna Dusseldorf0–1
Apr 2018Fortuna Dusseldorf – FC Ingolstadt 043–0
Nov 2017FC Ingolstadt 04 – Fortuna Dusseldorf1–0
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.24 for FC Ingolstadt 04, 0.93 for Fortuna Düsseldorf), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 7th on 18 points; Fortuna Düsseldorf are 10th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.