Over 1.5 goals@1.63
Over 1.5
62%
DEN1. Division · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Monjasa Park
FC Fredericia
2nd · 23 pts3–1FULL TIME
AB Copenhagen
4th · 18 pts49% FC
29% Draw
22% AB
OUR PICK
FC Fredericia to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.02
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.77
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.02X3.4924.55
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.64
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.64
NG
61%
Double chance@1.28
1X
78%
Season stats
FC FredericiaAB Copenhagen1.6Goals per game1.4
0.7Conceded per game1.2
1.77Points per game1.38
46%Win rate38%
12Goal difference3
10Form, last 5 (pts)12
FC Fredericia form
WLWWDH AB Copenhagen3–1
A Esbjerg2–1
H Hobro3–0
A Hillerød0–2
H Vejle2–2
AB Copenhagen form
LLWWWA FC Fredericia3–1
H Brondby1–2
H Kolding IF1–0
A HB Koge2–3
H Aarhus Fremad2–0
Head to head
3
FC
1
Draw
1
AB
Oct 2026FC Fredericia – AB Copenhagen3–1
Jul 2026AB Copenhagen – FC Fredericia1–1
Sept 2021AB Copenhagen – FC Fredericia0–2
Apr 2017FC Fredericia – AB Copenhagen1–3
Nov 2016AB Copenhagen – FC Fredericia2–3
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hvidovre13+1129
2FC Fredericia13+1223
3Vejle12+923
4AB Copenhagen13+318
5Hobro13-716
6Kolding IF13-115
7Aarhus Fremad12-115
8Aalborg13-215
9Hillerød12-312
10HB Koge13-611
Match preview
Our model makes FC Fredericia slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.02 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.31 for FC Fredericia, 0.77 for AB Copenhagen), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Fredericia sit 2nd on 23 points; AB Copenhagen are 4th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.