Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 34Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Toyota Stadium
FC Dallas
2nd · 55 pts01:00KICK-OFF WAT
Colorado Rapids
9th · 43 pts51% FC
23% Draw
26% Colorado
OUR PICK
FC Dallas to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.97
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.19
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.97X4.2623.87
Goals 2.5Over1.77Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.74NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.74
GG
58%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
FC DallasColorado Rapids1.8Goals per game1.4
1.5Conceded per game1.4
1.67Points per game1.30
45%Win rate36%
9Goal difference-1
8Form, last 5 (pts)6
FC Dallas form
DLWDWA Sporting Kansas City1–1
H Columbus Crew0–2
H San Jose Earthquakes3–0
A Houston Dynamo2–2
H Seattle Sounders1–0
Colorado Rapids form
LDWDDH Chicago Fire2–4
A San Jose Earthquakes2–2
H Vancouver Whitecaps1–0
A Portland Timbers0–0
H Minnesota United FC2–2
Head to head
2
FC
1
Draw
2
Colorado
May 2026Colorado Rapids – FC Dallas1–2
Sept 2025FC Dallas – Colorado Rapids3–1
Mar 2025Colorado Rapids – FC Dallas3–3
Sept 2024FC Dallas – Colorado Rapids2–3
Apr 2024Colorado Rapids – FC Dallas2–1
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes FC Dallas slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.97 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.76 for FC Dallas, 1.19 for Colorado Rapids), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Dallas sit 2nd on 55 points; Colorado Rapids are 9th on 43.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.