Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Parken Stadium
FC Copenhagen
10th · 4 pts3–0FULL TIME
SC Braga
16th · 3 pts36% FC
25% Draw
40% SC
OUR PICK
SC Braga to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.50
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.52
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.82X4.0722.50
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
FC CopenhagenSC Braga2.5Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game1.5
2.00Points per game1.50
50%Win rate50%
3Goal difference-1
4Form, last 5 (pts)3
FC Copenhagen form
WDDDWA Aarhus Fremad0–3
H Odense1–1
A FK Crvena Zvezda2–2
H Aarhus1–1
H SC Braga3–0
SC Braga form
WDLWLH Famalicao2–0
H Famalicao2–2
A Nacional1–0
H Gent2–0
H GIL Vicente1–2
Head to head
1
FC
0
Draw
0
SC
Oct 2026FC Copenhagen – SC Braga3–0
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Copenhagen 36%, the draw 25%, SC Braga 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.42 for FC Copenhagen, 1.52 for SC Braga), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Copenhagen sit 10th on 4 points; SC Braga are 16th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.