Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Parken Stadium
FC Copenhagen
10th · 4 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
FC Iberia 1999
29th · 1 pts63% FC
20% Draw
16% FC
OUR PICK
FC Copenhagen to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
2.05 – 0.92
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.58X4.8826.23
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.91NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.91
GG
52%
Double chance@1.19
1X
84%
Season stats
FC CopenhagenFC Iberia 19992.5Goals per game0.5
1.0Conceded per game1.5
2.00Points per game0.50
50%Win rate0%
3Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)1
FC Copenhagen form
WDDDWA Aarhus Fremad0–3
H Odense1–1
A FK Crvena Zvezda2–2
H Aarhus1–1
H SC Braga3–0
FC Iberia 1999 form
DWDWLA Dinamo Tbilisi0–0
H Torpedo Kutaisi3–2
H Mjallby AIF1–1
A Dila0–2
A St. Truiden2–0
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes FC Copenhagen clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (2.05 for FC Copenhagen, 0.92 for FC Iberia 1999), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Copenhagen sit 10th on 4 points; FC Iberia 1999 are 29th on 1.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.