Over 1.5 goals@1.07
Over 1.5
94%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 33Saturday, 31 October 2026 · TQL Stadium
FC Cincinnati
1–0FULL TIME
Philadelphia Union
38% FC
19% Draw
43% Philadelphia
OUR PICK
Philadelphia Union to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.35
Expected goals
2.18 – 2.31
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.64X5.1322.35
Goals 2.5Over1.21Under5.24
Both scoreGG1.25NG4.72
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.21
Over 2.5
82%
Both teams to score@1.25
GG
80%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
FC Cincinnati form
No recent matches.
Philadelphia Union form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
FC
0
Draw
0
Philadelphia
These sides haven't met recently.
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps32+3458
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo32+351
6Los Angeles FC32+1547
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Colorado Rapids33-143
9Seattle Sounders32+143
10Real Salt Lake33042
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Cincinnati 38%, the draw 19%, Philadelphia Union 43%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.5 goals in total (2.18 for FC Cincinnati, 2.31 for Philadelphia Union), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.