Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 29Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · TQL Stadium
FC Cincinnati
2–3FULL TIME
New England Revolution
40% FC
21% Draw
39% New
OUR PICK
FC Cincinnati to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.50
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.89
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.50X4.7022.58
Goals 2.5Over1.37Under3.49
Both scoreGG1.38NG3.37
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Over 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.38
GG
72%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
FC Cincinnati form
WDWWLH Philadelphia Union1–0
A Inter Miami2–2
A DC United0–2
H DC United2–1
H Columbus Crew0–2
New England Revolution form
LWWWWH Inter Miami1–2
H New York Red Bulls3–2
A Philadelphia Union1–2
H Chicago Fire1–0
A FC Cincinnati2–3
Head to head
2
FC
1
Draw
2
New
Oct 2026FC Cincinnati – New England Revolution2–3
Mar 2026New England Revolution – FC Cincinnati6–1
Jan 2026New England Revolution – FC Cincinnati1–1
Jun 2025New England Revolution – FC Cincinnati0–1
Apr 2025FC Cincinnati – New England Revolution1–0
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Cincinnati 40%, the draw 21%, New England Revolution 39%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (1.92 for FC Cincinnati, 1.89 for New England Revolution), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.