Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 34Saturday, 7 November 2026 · TQL Stadium
FC Cincinnati
22:00KICK-OFF WAT
Nashville SC
17% FC
18% Draw
65% Nashville
OUR PICK
Nashville SC to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
1.16 – 2.40
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.89X5.4421.55
Goals 2.5Over1.45Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
62%
Double chance@1.20
X2
83%
FC Cincinnati form
WDWWLH Philadelphia Union1–0
A Inter Miami2–2
A DC United0–2
H DC United2–1
H Columbus Crew0–2
Nashville SC form
WDWDWH New York Red Bulls3–2
H Philadelphia Union0–0
A CF Montreal0–2
A San Jose Earthquakes1–1
H Sporting Kansas City4–0
Head to head
2
FC
1
Draw
2
Nashville
Aug 2026Nashville SC – FC Cincinnati4–0
Sept 2025FC Cincinnati – Nashville SC2–1
Mar 2025Nashville SC – FC Cincinnati1–2
Sept 2024Nashville SC – FC Cincinnati2–2
May 2024FC Cincinnati – Nashville SC0–2
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model makes Nashville SC clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.16 for FC Cincinnati, 2.40 for Nashville SC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.