Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 9Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Hofmann Personal Stadion
FC BW Linz
1st · 28 pts4–1FULL TIME
FC Liefering
7th · 17 pts81% FC
11% Draw
7% FC
OUR PICK
FC BW Linz to win
Model probability 81% · fair odds
1.23
Expected goals
3.17 – 0.89
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.23X8.70213.90
Goals 2.5Over1.30Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.77NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.30
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.77
GG
56%
Double chance@1.08
1X
93%
Season stats
FC BW LinzFC Liefering2.9Goals per game2.0
0.5Conceded per game2.1
2.55Points per game1.55
82%Win rate45%
26Goal difference-1
13Form, last 5 (pts)7
FC BW Linz form
WWWDWA First Vienna0–6
A Austria Salzburg0–1
H FC Liefering4–1
A SKU Amstetten1–1
A Red Bull Salzburg1–2
FC Liefering form
WDDLWA Rapid Wien II1–2
H Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2–2
H Mainz 05 U190–0
A FC BW Linz4–1
H Sturm Graz II3–1
Head to head
3
FC
2
Draw
0
FC
Oct 2026FC BW Linz – FC Liefering4–1
Apr 2023FC Liefering – FC BW Linz2–2
Oct 2022FC BW Linz – FC Liefering4–0
May 2022FC BW Linz – FC Liefering3–0
Nov 2021FC Liefering – FC BW Linz0–0
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model makes FC BW Linz clear favourites, giving them a 81% chance of winning against 11% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.23 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (3.17 for FC BW Linz, 0.89 for FC Liefering), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC BW Linz sit 1st on 28 points; FC Liefering are 7th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.