Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
ROULiga I · Matchday 11Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadionul Municipal
FC Botosani
12th · 14 pts2–0FULL TIME
Uta Arad
10th · 18 pts41% FC
26% Draw
33% Uta
OUR PICK
FC Botosani to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.44
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.20
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.44X3.7923.07
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG1.91NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.91
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
FC BotosaniUta Arad1.3Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.4
1.00Points per game1.29
21%Win rate36%
-1Goal difference-3
3Form, last 5 (pts)9
FC Botosani form
LDLLWA Universitatea Craiova2–1
A Uta Arad2–2
H Petrolul Ploiesti1–3
A Dinamo Bucuresti2–0
H Uta Arad2–0
Uta Arad form
LDWWLA Dinamo Bucuresti2–0
H FC Botosani2–2
A Arges Pitesti0–1
H CFR 1907 Cluj1–0
A FC Botosani2–0
Head to head
2
FC
1
Draw
2
Uta
Oct 2026Uta Arad – FC Botosani2–2
Oct 2026FC Botosani – Uta Arad2–0
Apr 2026Uta Arad – FC Botosani3–1
Feb 2026Uta Arad – FC Botosani2–1
Oct 2025FC Botosani – Uta Arad2–1
Liga I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233
2Universitatea Craiova14+2432
3Rapid14+1030
4Universitatea Cluj14+625
5Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
6Farul Constanta14+223
7FCSB14021
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
10Uta Arad14-318
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Botosani 41%, the draw 26%, Uta Arad 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.38 for FC Botosani, 1.20 for Uta Arad), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Botosani sit 12th on 14 points; Uta Arad are 10th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.