Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
ROULiga I · Matchday 13Friday, 23 October 2026 · Stadionul Municipal
FC Botosani
12th · 14 pts1–3FULL TIME
Petrolul Ploiesti
5th · 24 pts46% FC
26% Draw
28% Petrolul
OUR PICK
FC Botosani to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.05
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.17X3.7823.63
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.83
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
50%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
FC BotosaniPetrolul Ploiesti1.3Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.00Points per game1.71
21%Win rate50%
-1Goal difference1
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
FC Botosani form
LDLLWA Universitatea Craiova2–1
A Uta Arad2–2
H Petrolul Ploiesti1–3
A Dinamo Bucuresti2–0
H Uta Arad2–0
Petrolul Ploiesti form
DWWDLH CFR 1907 Cluj1–1
A Progresul Spartac0–6
A FC Botosani1–3
H Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1–1
A Farul Constanta3–1
Head to head
1
FC
2
Draw
2
Petrolul
Oct 2026FC Botosani – Petrolul Ploiesti1–3
May 2026FC Botosani – Petrolul Ploiesti1–1
Mar 2026FC Botosani – Petrolul Ploiesti0–1
Nov 2025Petrolul Ploiesti – FC Botosani0–0
Mar 2025Petrolul Ploiesti – FC Botosani0–2
Liga I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti14+2233
2Universitatea Craiova14+2432
3Rapid14+1030
4Universitatea Cluj14+625
5Petrolul Ploiesti14+124
6Farul Constanta14+223
7FCSB14021
8Corvinul Hunedoara14019
9CFR 1907 Cluj14-118
10Uta Arad14-318
Match preview
Our model makes FC Botosani slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.44 for FC Botosani, 1.05 for Petrolul Ploiesti), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Botosani sit 12th on 14 points; Petrolul Ploiesti are 5th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.