Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 8Saturday, 31 October 2026 · WWK Arena
FC Augsburg
9th · 9 pts1–2FULL TIME
SC Freiburg
3rd · 16 pts41% FC
21% Draw
38% SC
OUR PICK
FC Augsburg to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.42
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.94
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.42X4.8122.64
Goals 2.5Over1.32Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.34NG3.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.32
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.34
GG
74%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
FC AugsburgSC Freiburg2.3Goals per game2.3
1.9Conceded per game1.3
1.13Points per game2.00
25%Win rate63%
3Goal difference8
2Form, last 5 (pts)7
FC Augsburg form
LWDLDH SC Freiburg1–2
A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–4
H Union Berlin1–1
A SV Elversberg4–3
H Bayern München2–2
SC Freiburg form
WWLLLA FC Augsburg1–2
H VfL Wolfsburg3–2
H Bayern München1–3
A Monaco3–0
A Bayer Leverkusen2–1
Head to head
1
FC
2
Draw
2
SC
Oct 2026FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg1–2
Jan 2026FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg2–2
Aug 2025SC Freiburg – FC Augsburg1–3
Mar 2025FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg0–0
Oct 2024SC Freiburg – FC Augsburg3–1
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8FSV Mainz 058010
9FC Augsburg8+39
10VfB Stuttgart8-19
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: FC Augsburg 41%, the draw 21%, SC Freiburg 38%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (2.03 for FC Augsburg, 1.94 for SC Freiburg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
FC Augsburg sit 9th on 9 points; SC Freiburg are 3rd on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.