Over 1.5 goals@1.51
Over 1.5
66%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 10Sunday, 8 November 2026
Farense
5th · 15 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Benfica B
3rd · 17 pts38% Farense
29% Draw
33% Benfica
OUR PICK
Farense to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.63
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.09
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.63X3.5022.99
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.85
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.85
NG
54%
Double chance@1.40
12
71%
Season stats
FarenseBenfica B1.7Goals per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game0.7
1.67Points per game1.89
44%Win rate56%
4Goal difference5
8Form, last 5 (pts)10
Farense form
DLWWWA Lusitânia Lourosa1–1
H Penafiel1–4
H AD Marco 093–0
H Feirense2–1
H Chaves4–0
Benfica B form
WDWWLH Chaves3–1
A Feirense0–0
H Felgueiras 19321–0
A Academica0–3
H Torreense0–2
Head to head
3
Farense
0
Draw
2
Benfica
Mar 2026Benfica B – Farense1–0
Nov 2025Farense – Benfica B4–3
May 2023Benfica B – Farense0–1
Jan 2023Farense – Benfica B5–2
Feb 2022Benfica B – Farense3–0
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa9+719
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Farense9+415
6Academica9+315
7Tondela9+215
8Vizela9+114
9União de Leiria9+214
10AVS9+112
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Farense 38%, the draw 29%, Benfica B 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.18 for Farense, 1.09 for Benfica B), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Farense sit 5th on 15 points; Benfica B are 3rd on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.