Over 1.5 goals@1.50
Over 1.5
66%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Falkirk Stadium
Falkirk
4th · 18 pts1–2FULL TIME
Dundee
5th · 17 pts44% Falkirk
28% Draw
28% Dundee
OUR PICK
Falkirk to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.31 – 0.97
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.25X3.5723.62
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.83
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.83
NG
55%
Double chance@1.38
1X
72%
Season stats
FalkirkDundee1.3Goals per game1.5
1.0Conceded per game1.2
1.50Points per game1.55
42%Win rate45%
3Goal difference4
12Form, last 5 (pts)10
Falkirk form
WWWWLH Celtic2–0
A Aberdeen0–1
H Kilmarnock3–0
A Hibernian1–2
H Dundee1–2
Dundee form
WLDWWH Kilmarnock3–1
A ST Mirren2–1
H Rangers2–2
A Falkirk1–2
H Motherwell2–1
Head to head
2
Falkirk
0
Draw
3
Dundee
Oct 2026Falkirk – Dundee1–2
Feb 2026Falkirk – Dundee1–0
Dec 2025Dundee – Falkirk1–0
Oct 2025Falkirk – Dundee2–1
Dec 2022Falkirk – Dundee0–3
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Falkirk slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.31 for Falkirk, 0.97 for Dundee), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Falkirk sit 4th on 18 points; Dundee are 5th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.