Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
72%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 12Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Falkirk Stadium
Falkirk
4th · 18 pts2–0FULL TIME
Celtic
1st · 28 pts21% Falkirk
25% Draw
54% Celtic
OUR PICK
Celtic to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.62
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.79X4.0321.84
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.26
X2
79%
Season stats
FalkirkCeltic1.3Goals per game2.3
1.0Conceded per game0.8
1.50Points per game2.33
42%Win rate75%
3Goal difference17
12Form, last 5 (pts)10
Falkirk form
No recent matches.
Celtic form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Falkirk
0
Draw
0
Celtic
These sides haven't met recently.
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Celtic clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (0.90 for Falkirk, 1.62 for Celtic), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Falkirk sit 4th on 18 points; Celtic are 1st on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.