Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
SWESuperettan · Matchday 27Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Falcon Alkoholfri Arena
Falkenbergs FF
2nd · 54 pts4–3FULL TIME
Landskrona BoIS
6th · 44 pts43% Falkenbergs
25% Draw
32% Landskrona
OUR PICK
Falkenbergs FF to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.26
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.34X3.9523.14
Goals 2.5Over1.92Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
56%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Falkenbergs FFLandskrona BoIS1.9Goals per game1.6
1.3Conceded per game1.2
1.86Points per game1.57
55%Win rate43%
15Goal difference13
10Form, last 5 (pts)10
Falkenbergs FF form
WLWWDH Sandviken2–1
A Orebro SK1–0
H Landskrona BoIS4–3
A IFK Varnamo1–2
H Ostersunds FK0–0
Landskrona BoIS form
DLWWWH Varbergs BoIS FC1–1
A Falkenbergs FF4–3
H Sandviken3–2
A United Nordic1–4
H GIF Sundsvall4–0
Head to head
3
Falkenbergs
1
Draw
1
Landskrona
Oct 2026Falkenbergs FF – Landskrona BoIS4–3
Jul 2026Falkenbergs FF – Landskrona BoIS1–2
Apr 2026Landskrona BoIS – Falkenbergs FF1–2
Mar 2026Falkenbergs FF – Landskrona BoIS4–1
Mar 2026Landskrona BoIS – Falkenbergs FF3–3
Superettan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping29+4365
2Falkenbergs FF29+1554
3Ostersunds FK29+948
4Varbergs BoIS FC28+1147
5Oddevold29+1245
6Landskrona BoIS28+1344
7Osters IF28+142
8United Nordic29-442
9Sandviken29+538
10IFK Varnamo29-1035
Match preview
Our model makes Falkenbergs FF slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.50 for Falkenbergs FF, 1.26 for Landskrona BoIS), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Falkenbergs FF sit 2nd on 54 points; Landskrona BoIS are 6th on 44.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.