Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 10Sunday, 18 October 2026 · JFE Harenokuni Stadium
Fagiano Okayama
10th · 16 pts0–3FULL TIME
Vissel Kobe
5th · 26 pts31% Fagiano
27% Draw
42% Vissel
OUR PICK
Vissel Kobe to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.37
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.34
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.26X3.6822.37
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.97
NG
51%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Fagiano OkayamaVissel Kobe1.2Goals per game1.6
1.6Conceded per game0.9
1.23Points per game2.00
38%Win rate62%
-6Goal difference9
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Fagiano Okayama form
LLWLDH FC Tokyo0–4
A Kawasaki Frontale2–1
H Mito Hollyhock2–0
H Vissel Kobe0–3
A Nagoya Grampus3–3
Vissel Kobe form
WWDLWH Nagoya Grampus3–1
A Daejeon Citizen0–1
H Machida Zelvia0–0
A Kawasaki Frontale2–1
A Fagiano Okayama0–3
Head to head
1
Fagiano
0
Draw
4
Vissel
Oct 2026Fagiano Okayama – Vissel Kobe0–3
May 2026Vissel Kobe – Fagiano Okayama0–3
Apr 2026Fagiano Okayama – Vissel Kobe1–4
Jul 2025Fagiano Okayama – Vissel Kobe1–2
May 2025Vissel Kobe – Fagiano Okayama2–0
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model makes Vissel Kobe slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.37 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.10 for Fagiano Okayama, 1.34 for Vissel Kobe), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fagiano Okayama sit 10th on 16 points; Vissel Kobe are 5th on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.