Over 1.5 goals@1.36
Over 1.5
74%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · JFE Harenokuni Stadium
Fagiano Okayama
10th · 16 pts0–4FULL TIME
FC Tokyo
1st · 30 pts18% Fagiano
23% Draw
59% FC
OUR PICK
FC Tokyo to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
0.86 – 1.76
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.53X4.3021.70
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.95
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.22
X2
82%
Season stats
Fagiano OkayamaFC Tokyo1.2Goals per game2.4
1.6Conceded per game0.6
1.23Points per game2.31
38%Win rate69%
-6Goal difference23
3Form, last 5 (pts)13
Fagiano Okayama form
No recent matches.
FC Tokyo form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Fagiano
0
Draw
0
FC
These sides haven't met recently.
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model makes FC Tokyo clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (0.86 for Fagiano Okayama, 1.76 for FC Tokyo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Fagiano Okayama sit 10th on 16 points; FC Tokyo are 1st on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.