Over 1.5 goals@1.51
Over 1.5
66%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026
Eyüpspor
18th · 3 pts11:30KICK-OFF WAT
Kocaelispor
8th · 16 pts10% Eyüpspor
22% Draw
68% Kocaelispor
OUR PICK
Kocaelispor to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
0.51 – 1.76
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X219.87X4.5621.47
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.65
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.11
X2
90%
Season stats
EyüpsporKocaelispor0.3Goals per game1.1
2.8Conceded per game0.9
0.30Points per game1.60
10%Win rate50%
-25Goal difference2
0Form, last 5 (pts)7
Eyüpspor form
LLLLLA Amed5–1
H Kasımpaşa0–1
A Erzurumspor FK2–0
H Göztepe0–4
A Fenerbahçe8–0
Kocaelispor form
DWWLLH Rizespor0–0
H Mazıdağı Fosfatspor3–0
A Alanyaspor1–2
H Göztepe1–2
A Beşiktaş2–1
Head to head
2
Eyüpspor
0
Draw
3
Kocaelispor
Mar 2026Eyüpspor – Kocaelispor0–1
Oct 2025Kocaelispor – Eyüpspor1–0
Jan 2024Kocaelispor – Eyüpspor2–1
Aug 2023Eyüpspor – Kocaelispor2–0
May 2022Eyüpspor – Kocaelispor2–1
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Kocaelispor clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (0.51 for Eyüpspor, 1.76 for Kocaelispor), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Eyüpspor sit 18th on 3 points; Kocaelispor are 8th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.