Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 7Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stade Yvan Georges
Excelsior Virton
5th · 13 pts3–4FULL TIME
Sporting Hasselt
4th · 15 pts57% Excelsior
24% Draw
18% Sporting
OUR PICK
Excelsior Virton to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.74
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.82
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.74X4.1225.44
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.82
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.83
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.83
NG
55%
Double chance@1.23
1X
82%
Season stats
Excelsior VirtonSporting Hasselt1.8Goals per game1.5
1.3Conceded per game1.6
1.63Points per game1.88
50%Win rate63%
4Goal difference-1
7Form, last 5 (pts)9
Excelsior Virton form
WLLLWA AS Eupen1–2
A Seraing United3–1
H Genk0–2
H Sporting Hasselt3–4
A Oostkamp0–3
Sporting Hasselt form
WLWWLA Club Brugge II3–4
H Cercle Brugge1–2
A Excelsior Virton3–4
A Mandel United1–3
H Beerschot VA0–1
Head to head
0
Excelsior
1
Draw
1
Sporting
Oct 2026Excelsior Virton – Sporting Hasselt3–4
Aug 2025Excelsior Virton – Sporting Hasselt3–3
Challenger Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Beerschot VA9+1624
2Dender8+919
3AS Eupen8+615
4Sporting Hasselt8-115
5Excelsior Virton8+413
6Lokeren-Temse8+213
7Patro Eisden9-112
8Francs Borains7-112
9KAA Gent II8-211
10Club Brugge II8-39
Match preview
Our model makes Excelsior Virton clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.74 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.66 for Excelsior Virton, 0.82 for Sporting Hasselt), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Excelsior Virton sit 5th on 13 points; Sporting Hasselt are 4th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.