Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
BELChallenger Pro League · Matchday 10Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Stade Yvan Georges
Excelsior Virton
5th · 13 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
Beerschot VA
1st · 24 pts27% Excelsior
24% Draw
49% Beerschot
OUR PICK
Beerschot VA to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.03
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.74
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.69X4.2422.03
Goals 2.5Over1.75Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
58%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Excelsior VirtonBeerschot VA1.8Goals per game2.6
1.3Conceded per game0.8
1.63Points per game2.67
50%Win rate89%
4Goal difference16
7Form, last 5 (pts)15
Excelsior Virton form
No recent matches.
Beerschot VA form
WWWWWH Francs Borains3–0
A AS Eupen1–2
H Anderlecht2–1
H Liège5–1
A Crossing Schaerbeek3–5
Head to head
0
Excelsior
0
Draw
0
Beerschot
These sides haven't met recently.
Challenger Pro League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Beerschot VA9+1624
2Dender8+919
3AS Eupen8+615
4Sporting Hasselt8-115
5Excelsior Virton8+413
6Lokeren-Temse8+213
7Patro Eisden9-112
8Francs Borains7-112
9KAA Gent II8-211
10Club Brugge II8-39
Match preview
Our model makes Beerschot VA slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.03 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.23 for Excelsior Virton, 1.74 for Beerschot VA), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Excelsior Virton sit 5th on 13 points; Beerschot VA are 1st on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.