CHIPrimera División · Matchday 27Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Estadio Sausalito

Everton de Vina

5th · 40 pts

22:00KICK-OFF WAT

Concepción

8th · 35 pts

51% Everton

26% Draw

23% Concepción

OUR PICK

Everton de Vina to win

Model probability 51% · fair odds

1.95

Expected goals

1.51 – 0.91

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.95X3.8424.40

Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.77

Both scoreGG2.01NG1.87

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.44

Over 1.5

70%

Over/Under 2.5@1.77

Under 2.5

56%

Both teams to score@1.87

53%

Double chance@1.29

77%

Season stats

Everton de VinaConcepción

1.7Goals per game1.1

1.3Conceded per game1.2

1.54Points per game1.35

42%Win rate38%

10Goal difference-2

7Form, last 5 (pts)5

Everton de Vina form

DLWDL

A Cobresal2–2

A Universidad de Chile4–1

H D. La Serena3–2

A Universidad de Chile1–1

H Universidad de Chile0–1

Concepción form

WLDLL

H Palestino1–0

A D. La Serena3–1

H Union La Calera1–1

A O'Higgins2–0

H O'Higgins0–1

Head to head

Everton

Draw

Concepción

May 2026Concepción – Everton de Vina0–2

Primera División table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Colo Colo26+2858

2Universidad de Chile26+2448

3U. Catolica26+1646

4Deportes Limache26+1140

5Everton de Vina26+1040

6Palestino26+238

7Coquimbo Unido25+335

8Concepción26-235

9Nublense26-935

10D. La Serena26-334

Match preview

Our model makes Everton de Vina slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.95 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.51 for Everton de Vina, 0.91 for Concepción), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Everton de Vina sit 5th on 40 points; Concepción are 8th on 35.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

Discuss on Telegram More Primera División tips