Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026
ES Setif
9th · 8 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
US Biskra
16th · 3 pts70% ES
20% Draw
10% US
OUR PICK
ES Setif to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.44
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.59
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.44X4.9829.64
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.62
NG
62%
Double chance@1.12
1X
90%
Season stats
ES SetifUS Biskra1.3Goals per game0.5
1.0Conceded per game1.8
1.14Points per game0.38
29%Win rate0%
2Goal difference-10
8Form, last 5 (pts)1
ES Setif form
WLDA ASO Chlef1–2
H Témouchent1–2
H JS Kabylie1–1
US Biskra form
DLLLA Témouchent1–1
H MC Alger0–1
A JS Kabylie4–1
H MC Oran0–1
Head to head
2
ES
3
Draw
0
US
Jun 2025ES Setif – US Biskra1–0
Dec 2024US Biskra – ES Setif0–0
Apr 2024US Biskra – ES Setif2–2
Dec 2023ES Setif – US Biskra2–2
Feb 2023ES Setif – US Biskra3–1
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model makes ES Setif clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.94 for ES Setif, 0.59 for US Biskra), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
ES Setif sit 9th on 8 points; US Biskra are 16th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.