Over 1.5 goals@1.68
Over 1.5
60%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 7Saturday, 24 October 2026
ES Setif
8th · 8 pts1–2FULL TIME
Témouchent
11th · 8 pts59% ES
27% Draw
14% Témouchent
OUR PICK
ES Setif to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.69
Expected goals
1.45 – 0.56
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.69X3.7527.01
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.48
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.48
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
ES SetifTémouchent1.3Goals per game0.7
1.0Conceded per game1.1
1.14Points per game1.14
29%Win rate29%
2Goal difference-3
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
ES Setif form
WLDA ASO Chlef1–2
H Témouchent1–2
H JS Kabylie1–1
Témouchent form
WDLLA ES Setif1–2
H ASO Chlef1–1
H MB Rouisset0–2
A MC Alger1–0
Head to head
0
ES
0
Draw
1
Témouchent
Oct 2026ES Setif – Témouchent1–2
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1JS Kabylie7+816
2MC Oran7+515
3USM Alger7+514
4CR Belouizdad6+414
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8ES Setif7+28
9JS El Biar808
10Ben Aknoun708
Match preview
Our model makes ES Setif clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.69 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.45 for ES Setif, 0.56 for Témouchent), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
ES Setif sit 8th on 8 points; Témouchent are 11th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.