Over 1.5 goals@1.80
Over 1.5
55%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 9Saturday, 7 November 2026
ES Setif
8th · 8 pts17:45KICK-OFF WAT
MB Rouisset
5th · 14 pts37% ES
32% Draw
31% MB
OUR PICK
ES Setif to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.73
Expected goals
0.98 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.73X3.1123.20
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.40
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.58
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.40
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.58
NG
63%
Double chance@1.45
1X
69%
Season stats
ES SetifMB Rouisset1.3Goals per game1.0
1.0Conceded per game0.6
1.14Points per game1.75
29%Win rate50%
2Goal difference3
8Form, last 5 (pts)11
ES Setif form
WLDA ASO Chlef1–2
H Témouchent1–2
H JS Kabylie1–1
MB Rouisset form
DDWWH Ben Aknoun1–1
A ASO Chlef1–1
H JS Saoura1–0
A Témouchent0–2
Head to head
1
ES
0
Draw
1
MB
Feb 2026ES Setif – MB Rouisset2–1
Sept 2025MB Rouisset – ES Setif3–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1JS Kabylie7+816
2MC Oran7+515
3USM Alger7+514
4CR Belouizdad6+414
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8ES Setif7+28
9JS El Biar808
10Ben Aknoun708
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: ES Setif 37%, the draw 32%, MB Rouisset 31%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.98 for ES Setif, 0.88 for MB Rouisset), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
ES Setif sit 8th on 8 points; MB Rouisset are 5th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.