Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor FK
10th · 14 pts1–3FULL TIME
Çorum FK
6th · 16 pts32% Erzurumspor
25% Draw
43% Çorum
OUR PICK
Çorum FK to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.34
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.54
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.08X4.0222.34
Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.74NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.74
GG
57%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Erzurumspor FKÇorum FK0.9Goals per game2.1
1.5Conceded per game1.6
1.40Points per game1.60
40%Win rate50%
-6Goal difference5
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
Erzurumspor FK form
LWWDWH Çorum FK1–3
A Gaziantep FK1–3
H Eyüpspor2–0
A Alanyaspor0–0
H Samsunspor1–0
Çorum FK form
WLWWLA Erzurumspor FK1–3
A Göztepe2–0
H Rizespor2–1
A Gaziantep FK0–3
H Alanyaspor1–2
Head to head
2
Erzurumspor
2
Draw
1
Çorum
Oct 2026Erzurumspor FK – Çorum FK1–3
May 2026Çorum FK – Erzurumspor FK1–1
Dec 2025Erzurumspor FK – Çorum FK1–0
Apr 2025Erzurumspor FK – Çorum FK1–1
Nov 2024Çorum FK – Erzurumspor FK0–1
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed9+1020
3Trabzonspor9+1419
4Beşiktaş9+818
5Fenerbahçe10+1416
6Çorum FK10+516
7Kasımpaşa9+416
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Erzurumspor FK10-614
Match preview
Our model makes Çorum FK slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.31 for Erzurumspor FK, 1.54 for Çorum FK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Erzurumspor FK sit 10th on 14 points; Çorum FK are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.