Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
TURSüper Lig · Matchday 8Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor FK
11th · 14 pts2–0FULL TIME
Eyüpspor
18th · 3 pts65% Erzurumspor
22% Draw
13% Eyüpspor
OUR PICK
Erzurumspor FK to win
Model probability 65% · fair odds
1.53
Expected goals
1.84 – 0.67
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.53X4.6127.74
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.85
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.15
1X
87%
Season stats
Erzurumspor FKEyüpspor0.9Goals per game0.3
1.5Conceded per game2.8
1.40Points per game0.30
40%Win rate10%
-6Goal difference-25
10Form, last 5 (pts)0
Erzurumspor FK form
LWWDWH Çorum FK1–3
A Gaziantep FK1–3
H Eyüpspor2–0
A Alanyaspor0–0
H Samsunspor1–0
Eyüpspor form
LLLLLA Amed5–1
H Kasımpaşa0–1
A Erzurumspor FK2–0
H Göztepe0–4
A Fenerbahçe8–0
Head to head
1
Erzurumspor
1
Draw
3
Eyüpspor
Oct 2026Erzurumspor FK – Eyüpspor2–0
May 2024Erzurumspor FK – Eyüpspor0–4
Dec 2023Eyüpspor – Erzurumspor FK3–0
Apr 2023Eyüpspor – Erzurumspor FK1–1
Oct 2022Erzurumspor FK – Eyüpspor0–1
Süper Lig table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Galatasaray10+1125
2Amed10+1423
3Trabzonspor10+1622
4Beşiktaş10+819
5Kasımpaşa10+417
6Fenerbahçe10+1416
7Çorum FK10+516
8Kocaelispor10+216
9Göztepe10+415
10Başakşehir10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Erzurumspor FK clear favourites, giving them a 65% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.84 for Erzurumspor FK, 0.67 for Eyüpspor), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Erzurumspor FK sit 11th on 14 points; Eyüpspor are 18th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.