Over 1.5 goals@1.50
Over 1.5
67%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 12Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Tonkocheyev Stadium
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
10th · 9 pts14:30KICK-OFF WAT
Kryvbas KR
15th · 6 pts49% Epitsentr
27% Draw
24% Kryvbas
OUR PICK
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.05
Expected goals
1.40 – 0.89
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.05X3.6724.18
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.67
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.80
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.67
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.80
NG
56%
Double chance@1.31
1X
76%
Season stats
Epitsentr DunayivtsiKryvbas KR0.9Goals per game0.8
1.4Conceded per game1.7
0.82Points per game0.67
18%Win rate11%
-5Goal difference-8
1Form, last 5 (pts)1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi form
LWLDLA Zorya Luhansk1–0
A Chernihiv1–2
H FC Kharkiv1–2
A Karpaty2–2
A Kolos Kovalivka3–1
Kryvbas KR form
LDDLLH Dynamo Kyiv0–2
A Zorya Luhansk1–1
A Bukovyna0–0
H LNZ Cherkasy0–3
A Obolon'-Brovar1–0
Head to head
0
Epitsentr
0
Draw
2
Kryvbas
Mar 2026Kryvbas KR – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–1
Sept 2025Epitsentr Dunayivtsi – Kryvbas KR4–5
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3Dynamo Kyiv10+722
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6Zorya Luhansk11018
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59
Match preview
Our model makes Epitsentr Dunayivtsi slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.40 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, 0.89 for Kryvbas KR), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 10th on 9 points; Kryvbas KR are 15th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.